Monte carlo

Spent the morning running my Horse back systems through monte carlo simulations.

Here are the results per staking plan.

Based on 100,000 simulations per system.

Back system 1:

Progress : 100000\100_. 
Monte Carlo Style Test Results 
Staking Plan 
Level 
Percentage 
Fibonacci 
Parlay 
Secure 
Fixed 
Kelly 
Square Root 
Laboucher e 
Bookies Ban k 
Bookies dank V2 
Up X Down Y 
LP 28 
Recove 
Recovery Type 2 
Recovery Type 3 
Rolling Doubles 
Ave Tot 
1213 
7524 
10141 
1 02198432E+09 
Ave ROI 
-Actual Tot 
Bankrupt Simulations 
17013 
Bankruptcy Chance 
47389 
38371 
71 403 
SS117 
0 1S7 
17013 
21834 
X Cancel 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph

Systems performance to date looks like:

Total Sets 
Strike Rate 
Odds 
Edge 
234 
154% 
1&41 
328 
1093% 
Total Wins 
stry, 
Win 
Stam Dew 
Arch i e 
38 
1359 
1731 
T-Sco re 
3 OSS 
CurrentVVin Seq 
Current Lose Seq 
LongestVVin Seq 
Longest Lose 
p_VaIue 
4 (aets24-27) 
24 
(Bets 138 
Stan Bank 
Bankrupt 
= 100 
= NO 
Bet Number N/A

And what it looks like to level stakes, percentage & Square root:

Level 
Percentage 
D Fibonacci 
Dalembert 
Parlay 
D Pro 
Secure 
D Fixed 
Z] Square Root 
D Labouchere 
D Retirement 
D Bookies dank 
Bookies dank V2 
D XYZ 
Up X Down Y 
D LP 28 
D Recovery' 
D Recovery' Type 2 
Recovery Type 3 
D SAW 
Rollinq Doubles 
Coup Master 
D I Point 
i-TSM Plan 
Update Graph Display 
Data All Bets 
Line Wdth 
Level 
8000 
7000 
6000 
5000 
4000 
3000 
2000 
1 ooo 
50 
Percentage 
100 
Bet Number 
Square Root 
150 
200

Back system 2:

Progress : 100000\100_. 
Monte Carlo Style Test Results 
Ave ROI 
Staking Plan 
Level 
Percentage 
Fibonacci 
Parlay 
Secure 
Fixed 
Kelly 
Square Root 
Labouche re 
Retiremen t 
Bookies dank 
Bookies dank V2 
Up X Down Y 
Recove ry 
Recovery Type 2 
Recovery Type 3 
Rolling Doubles 
Ave Tot 
3212 
4752 
1472 
6825759 
Actual Tot 
97479 
1700 
Bankrupt Simulations 
87418 
81470 
37000 
10377 
8470 
Bankruptcy Chance 
42 742 
87 418 
81 47 
0812 
47229 
10377 
187 
10888 
8 47 
X Cancel 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph 
View Graph

Systems performance to date looks like:

Total Sets 
Strike Rate 
Odds 
Edge 
200 
11 S% 
33 98 
43 4 
201 9% 
Total Wins 
stry, 
Win 
Stam Dew 
Archie SD 
23 
38% 
282S 
SO 73 
T-Sco re 
2953 
CurrentVVin Seq 
Current Lose Seq 
LongestVVin Seq 
Longest Lose 
p_VaIue 
3 (aets9s-97) 
27 (aets49-7S) 
Stan Bank 
Bankrupt 
= 100 
= NO 
Bet Number N/A

Level 
Level 
Percentage 
D Fibonacci 
Dalembert 
Parlay 
D Pro 
Secure 
15 
D Fixed 
Z] Square Root 
D Labouchere 
D Retirement 
D Bookies dank 
Bookies dank V2 
D XYZ 
z 10 
Up X Down Y 
D LP 28 
Recovery 
D Recovery' Type 2 
Recovery Type 3 
D SAW 
Rollinq Doubles 
5 
Coup Master 
D I Point 
i-TSM Plan 
Update Graph Display 
Data All Bets 
Line Wdth 
50 
Percentage 
100 
Square Root 
150 
Bet Number

As you can clearly see.

Having a winning system is only part of the story.

I am currently running my lay system through 100,000 simulations.

Will update once complete.

Uncategorized

<span>%d</span> bloggers like this: